Generalized Pareto Distribution

The Generalized Pareto distribution is a generalization of the Pareto distribution often used in risk analysis.

Definition

The Generalized Pareto distribution is characterized by its probability density function (PDF):

f(x)=1b(1+a(xc)b)11/a

And its cumulative distribution function (CDF):

F(x)=1(1+a(xc)b)1/a

The distribution has three parameters:

  • a - the shape parameter (must be non-zero)

  • b - the scale parameter (must be positive)

  • c - the location parameter

The support of the distribution depends on the shape parameter:

  • When a0, the distribution extends from c to infinity

  • When a<0, the distribution is bounded above, with support from c to cb/a

Applications

  • Extreme value analysis in risk management and insurance

  • Environmental modeling of extreme events like floods and rainfall

  • Financial risk assessment for large market movements

  • Reliability engineering for modeling component lifetimes

  • Network traffic analysis for heavy-tailed phenomena

Properties

Statistical Properties
PropertyValue
Meanc+b1a,a<1
Medianc+ba(2a1)
Modec
Varianceb2(1a)2(12a),a<12
Skewness2(1+a)12a13a,a<13
Excess Kurtosis3(12a)(2a2+a+3)(13a)(14a)3,a<14
Entropyln(b)+a+1

The distribution has several notable properties:

  • Heavy-tailed behavior when a>0

  • Upper bounded when a<0

  • Memoryless property in the a=0 limit case

Relationships to Other Distributions

The GeneralizedParetoDistribution class

The Generalized Pareto distribution is implemented by the ParetoDistribution class. It has one constructor with three arguments. The first argument is the shape parameter. The second and third arguments are the scale and location parameters, respectively.

The following constructs the Generalized Pareto distribution with shape parameter -0.2, scale parameter 3, and location parameter 4.5:

C#
var pareto = new GeneralizedParetoDistribution(-0.2, 3, 4.5);

The GeneralizedParetoDistribution class has three specific properties, ShapeParameter, ScaleParameter, and LocationParameter, which return the shape, scale and location parameters of the distribution.

GeneralizedParetoDistribution has one static (Shared in Visual Basic) method, Sample, which generates a random sample using a user-supplied uniform random number generator. The second, third and fourth arguments are the shape, scale and location parameters of the distribution.

C#
var random = new Pcg32();
double sample = GeneralizedParetoDistribution.Sample(random, -0.2, 3, 4.5);

The above example uses the Pcg32 class to generate uniform random numbers.

References

For more information on the Generalized Pareto distribution, see the following sources:

  • Johnson, N. L., Kotz, S., & Balakrishnan, N. (1994). "Continuous Univariate Distributions, Volume 1", Chapter 20. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics.

  • Smith, R.L. (1987). "Estimating Tails of Probability Distributions". Annals of Statistics.

  • Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., & Mikosch, T. (1997). "Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance". Springer.

See Also